Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001064 0.001209 0.001355 0.001511 0.001674 0.001839 0.002017
2025-11-16 0.000831 0.001039 0.001255 0.001493 0.001747 0.002008 0.002295
2025-11-23 0.000654 0.000907 0.001178 0.001484 0.001817 0.002165 0.002553
2025-11-30 0.000550 0.000842 0.001164 0.001536 0.001947 0.002381 0.002869
2025-12-07 0.000427 0.000741 0.001101 0.001526 0.002004 0.002514 0.003093
2025-12-14 0.000310 0.000633 0.001021 0.001490 0.002025 0.002604 0.003265
2025-12-21 0.000245 0.000583 0.001002 0.001519 0.002116 0.002766 0.003515
2025-12-28 0.000165 0.000498 0.000935 0.001488 0.002135 0.002847 0.003670
2026-01-04 0.000114 0.000445 0.000902 0.001493 0.002192 0.002966 0.003866
2026-01-11 0.000067 0.000385 0.000855 0.001477 0.002223 0.003054 0.004026
2026-01-18 0.000032 0.000334 0.000815 0.001467 0.002256 0.003143 0.004185
2026-01-25 0.000003 0.000259 0.000734 0.001401 0.002222 0.003153 0.004253
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000199 0.000681 0.001384 0.002265 0.003272 0.004469
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000151 0.000638 0.001378 0.002321 0.003407 0.004706
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000110 0.000599 0.001377 0.002382 0.003549 0.004950
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000094 0.000603 0.001432 0.002512 0.003771 0.005285
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000061 0.000565 0.001426 0.002564 0.003901 0.005515
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000029 0.000510 0.001392 0.002580 0.003987 0.005694
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000017 0.000499 0.001422 0.002675 0.004164 0.005976
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000002 0.000452 0.001392 0.002692 0.004248 0.006150
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.000428 0.001397 0.002752 0.004382 0.006379
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000394 0.001383 0.002785 0.004483 0.006569
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000364 0.001372 0.002823 0.004587 0.006762